IGAD the main regional body has started its mission to stabilize the Country as the Internal Peace Talks appear to be stalled yet again. Sadly the Administration is preparing these Sanctions as a knee-jerk reaction. This is not going to bode well for the Worlds youngest Nation.
Lets Go to the Elections:
Earlier this week the Obama Administration issued a call for Free and Fair Elections to be held in Guinea-Bissau. At the time of press the Elections are being held Tomorrow (Sunday April 13th). This is the first scheduled Elections after a Coup was launched in April of 2012. At that time the Military launched this particular operation as it was determined that there would not be a clear winner and the next step would be a run-off. The Voters are going to elect both a new President and Legislature. Both entities will then have a hand in choosing who the next Prime Minister will be.
The UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-Moon has also issued a call for a Free and Fair Election. However he did not state whether or not he was hoping for the standards that are generally set by Western Democracies or what is generally the case regarding African Elections.
There are two main factors to consider in this Election: First the Economy is in Dire Straits. The Country is considered to be a functioning Narco-State. Secondly the Military has to be considered a destabilizing factor. This is a recipe for trouble in an election with 13 Candidates and no clear cut front runner.
Going to Malawi now. The Country recently announced that it will allow International Observers for their elections which are scheduled for Next Month. (3 weeks after the South African Elections). Hopefully this cycle will be calm despite the history of the neighbors.
One of which is Burundi. Their Elections are scheduled for 2015. Already the UN is worried about potential violence. There will be more to come regarding this elections as well.
Recently CSIS (Center for Strategic and International Studies) A think tank in Washington held a debate between the two main Nigerian Parties as they gear up for the February 2015 Elections. The topic itself was what the parties were doing to prepare for these elections. It was interesting to see the PDP try and hog the Microphone and then demand the APC try and answer the questions. If this is a barometer of what is to be expected in 10 months then the Elections in Nigeria are going to be entertaining and scary at the same time. Not a good mix.
Late Last Friday the United States sent out a Warden Message regarding the Situation in Kenya. There have been a series of high profile shootings and bombings in both Mombasa and Nairobi. There is now a crackdown against the Somali Community as well. It is believed that Kenyan Police have linked the most recent events in Nairobi to the Attack on the Westgate mall last year. If that is the Case a serious issue exists in Kenya.
Also The Government of Cameroon has determined that the Pentacostal Church is now a threat to National Security. If that is the case then how would they describe the actions of Boko Haram and Ansaru?