There have been reports that President Trump is considering a proposal to sell a Arms Package to Nigeria. There were several attempts by the Government of Goodluck Jonathan to purchase Helicopters from Israel to improve the capabilities of the Nigerian Military in dealing with the Boko Haram Insurgency. These moves were sabatoged by the Obama Administration. It was felt by some that this was a factor in the victory of the current President Mr. Buhari.
Nigeria does have major issues in the restive Northeastern Part of the Country. The actions of Boko Haram in Borno is a factor in the rise of the risk of Famine in that part of the Country. Fulani Militants have been wrecking havoc in the Middle Belt States as well and that can been seen as the current threat to the internal stability of the Country.
What generally gets overlooked is the Niger Delta region which is the home of the Petroleum Industry for the Country. It also adjoins a part of Cameroon which is the home of the Anglophile Community in Cameroon, the Heart of the Oil Industry of the Country and feel like second class citizens in the Country themselves. So there are copious internal or external threats that could pose an issue for Abuja.
It appears that Joseph Kabila is once again using the playbook used during 2016 in an attempt to remain in Power as President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo.
Earlier this week the Finance Minister of the Country somberly announced that the Country would not have the financial capability to run the Elections scheduled for later this year under the terms of the deal negotiated by the Catholic Church in December 2016.
There is growing concern that this deal will not last until then. The recent passing of Tshishsekedi has the potential to accelerate the pace of the collapse of this deal. Recent Fighting in Kasai Orientale regarding the closing of several underperforming Gold Mines and the persistent Militia activity in the Eastern Part of the Country continues to show concern about the stability of the Country.
Whether or not this is a tactic to implore that the Trump Administration provide some funding for this Elections which was something fell on deaf ears within the Obama Administration has yet to be ascertained.
Another interesting question has to be will Joseph Kabila be forced to learn the lesson that Yaya Jammeh in the Gambia learned last month the hard way. Elections are the will of the Governed. If you lose you have to honor the will of those who cast the ballots. And if you are a destabilizing factor in the region then your neighbors may take action to ensure that stability ensures.